Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Thursday’s World Cup outcomes most likely had some bookmakers reaching for the Excedrin. First, Belgium bowed out, failing to get out of Group F after a 0-0 draw in opposition to Croatia. Then in Group E, a good greater letdown arrived when Germany did not advance, regardless of a 4-2 victory over Costa Rica to wrap up group play.
Multiple sportsbooks wished to see each Belgium and Germany stay alive within the World Cup odds market however acquired neither.
Per FOX Sports Research, Germany will miss the knockout stage in consecutive World Cups for the primary time in nationwide workforce historical past.
Four scores not sufficient
Germany put itself in an enormous gap by taking a 2-1 upset loss in opposition to Japan in its first sport. From there, it was destined to be a really uphill battle. Against Spain, the German facet settled for a 1-1 draw, leaving it with only one level heading into the ultimate group sport in opposition to Costa Rica.
Germany wanted to win and seemingly put up a ton of targets. Thomas Müller & Co. delivered a 4-2 victory to get three factors and end the group stage with 4 factors. But Spain additionally had 4 factors and an enormous lead in purpose differential: Germany’s purpose differential was only one, whereas Spain’s was a whopping six, due to a gap 7-0 blowout over Costa Rica.
So Spain strikes on, and Germany — which pre-tournament was one of many favorites at FOX Bet in odds to win the World Cup at +1000 — is heading residence.
“Germany was a big winner for our futures, so it’s tough to see them out,” BetMGM sports activities dealer Seamus Magee mentioned. “It’s pretty shocking that Germany is out right now. Crazy enough that they haven’t been past the group stage since they won the tournament in 2014.”
Fading Germany
Adam Pullen, assistant director of buying and selling at Caesars Sports, echoed Magee’s sentiments on Germany.
“We were actually in a good position with Germany in the outright tournament winner and group winner markets for the World Cup,” Pullen mentioned. “They seem to have hit some hard times on the international stage lately. We only lost on a few teams for the tournament, but they were not one of them.”
That mentioned, Pullen famous that bettors acquired a modest win over the Caesars buying and selling workforce in a single market — betting in opposition to Germany to advance.
“We were a small loser on the to-qualify-from-the-group-stage market. Germany was around 4.5-1 [+450] not to qualify, so there were some juicy odds there,” Pullen mentioned.
RELATED: What went flawed for Germany
Not too stunning
Rob Miech, a sports activities betting columnist and well-versed soccer bettor, wasn’t too stunned to see Germany come up in need of the knockout stage.
“Germany has an aging Müller. They sorely miss a Michael Ballack-type who kept them together and on alert in days of yore. Much of the rest of the world is catching up or has caught up to the powers,” Miech mentioned.
The Germans bowing out early definitely sends a wake-up name to the remaining World Cup favorites.
“It will alert the French, in particular, to be aware and take no one lightly,” Miech mentioned, alluding to the defending World Cup champions.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s primarily based in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas
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World Cup 2022 odds: Germany’s ouster shocks bettors and sportsbooks
World Cup 2022 odds: Germany’s ouster shocks bettors and sportsbooks
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World Cup 2022 odds: Germany’s ouster shocks bettors and sportsbooks